Hypothetical tax-benefit reforms in Hungary: shifting from tax reliefs to cash transfers for family support

Abstract

This paper evaluates two hypothetical budget neutral reforms that shift resources from family tax expenditures to family cash transfers. We evaluate these reforms based on a structural labor supply model, EUROLAB, which in turn is based on the microsimulation model EUROMOD and EU-SILC data. We find that both reforms have an inequality decreasing impact. However, when looking at labour supply responses for different household types, we show that the reforms have a substantial impact, especially for females in couple households. Additionally, we show that especially females in the middle of the income distribution will reduce labour supply as a response to the reforms.